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Underdog Marlins's Starting Pitcher Sandy Alcantara with a Predicted Win Over the Pirates
Tue, Sep 3, 2019 | Emma Botos
Bryan Holaday in 2014
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September 3, 2019 -- On the road, the Marlins take the Pirates for a 53.71% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle MLB model.
Likely starting pitcher for the Marlins, Sandy Alcantara, will be paired with the hosting Pirates's pitcher Mitch Keller. The Marlins starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 20.731 outs, allow 3.096 earned runs, and a 0.006 probability of a complete game. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Mitch Keller will have 3.511 earned runs, a predicted 20.079 outs, and 6.851 strike outs.
Expected in today's lineup will be top hitters Bryan Holaday and Josh Bell from Marlins and Pirates, respectively. According to our game model, Bryan Holaday is estimated to have 0.659 RBIs and score 0.703 runs over an estimated 3.889 at-bats. Josh Bell is forecast to bat for 0.280 with 0.887 RBIs and 0.756 runs scored.
With +160 money line odds and a estimated 53.71% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Marlins over the Pirates. Based on the prediction model's over 61.39% likelihood and -105 odds, the over line with 9.0 runs is the best value.
Posted at Tue, September 3, 2019 13:03:16 UTC