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Thu, Sep 26, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-09-28 -- On the road, Kansas State take Oklahoma State for a 57.9% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle football model.
Based on the montecarlo model, Kansas State has an average of 26.2 points for the game. Our model forecasts Kansas State will pass for 1.3 touchdowns and 0.6 interceptions against the Oklahoma State defense on a forecasted 15.5 competitions with 25.8 attempts for 220.0 yards. Kansas State is predicted to run for 284.7 yards on 56.3 attempts with an estimated 1.6 touchdowns.
In their hometown, Oklahoma State is forecast to score 22.0 points. Oklahoma State is estimated from the model to throw for 158.1 yards on 26.4 attempts for 13.5 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 0.9 touchdowns and 0.4 interceptions. Oklahoma State is forecast to rush for 278.5 yards on 42.6 attempts with an estimated 1.5 rushing touchdowns.
Based on a predicted 67.6% probability to cover a +4.5 spread, Kansas State is the best value for the ATS bets. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 62.6% over estimate and -110 line odds for 62.0 runs.
Posted at Thu, September 26, 2019 03:47:51 UTC