Underdog Iowa State with a Predicted Win Over Texas

Fri, Nov 27, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-11-27 -- Iowa State has an predicted 68.1% chance for a road over Texas.

Based on the montecarlo model, Iowa State has an average of 19.0 points for the game. Our model forecasts Iowa State will pass for 0.7 touchdowns and 2.4 interceptions against the Texas defense on a forecasted 21.1 competitions with 49.1 attempts for 187.4 yards. Iowa State is estimated from the model to rush for 0.8 touchdowns against Texas with 44.3 rush attempts for 187.4 yards.

Texas is predicted to score 12.9 points on the home turf against Iowa State. The Snoozle football model estimates Texas will throw 25.6 competitions on 34.3 attempts against Iowa State with an estimated 0.8 interceptions for a total of 161.0 yards and 0.7 passing touchdowns. Our model forecasts Texas will rush for 0.5 touchdowns against the Iowa State defense on 34.4 attempts for a projected 138.7 yards.

An estimated 71.1% likelihood to beat a +1.0 point spread, the best value is on Iowa State in their matchup against Texas. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 92.4% over estimate and -110 line odds for 57.0 runs.

Posted at Fri, November 27, 2020 13:00:57 UTC