Underdog Giants on the Road Forecasted to Beat the Bears

Thu, Nov 21, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-11-24 -- On the road, the Giants take the Bears for a 60.4% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle football model.

The Giants are predicted to score 18.7 points against their opponent. The Giants are predicted from the model to throw for 216.5 yards on 43.3 attempts for 25.6 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.0 touchdowns and 1.9 interceptions. Our model forecasts the Giants will rush for 0.9 touchdowns against the Bears defense on 29.5 attempts for a projected 177.8 yards.

The Bears are estimated to score 13.6 points at home. Our model forecasts the Bears will pass for 1.1 touchdown and 1.9 interceptions against the Giants defense on a projected 24.0 competitions with 42.1 attempts for 247.7 passing yards. The model estimates the Bears will run on 21.6 attempts against the Giants with an estimated total of 62.2 yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns.

Based on a predicted 77.1% probability to cover a +6.0 spread, the Giants are the best value for the ATS bets. There is no good value for this game's over/under bet, our model's predictions show no clear favorite based on the over(-110)/under(-110) odds, the 40.5 runs, and our model's predicted combined score estimate.

Posted at Thu, November 21, 2019 13:08:43 UTC