Underdog FAU Predicted at Home to Beat SMU

Mon, Dec 16, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-12-21 -- The Snoozle model estimates FAU has an estimated 71.0% likelihood of defeating SMU.

In their hometown, FAU is forecast to score 28.3 points. The Snoozle football model estimates FAU will throw 21.7 competitions on 33.6 attempts against SMU with an estimated 0.6 interceptions for a total of 236.9 yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns. FAU is predicted from the model to run for 1.6 touchdowns against SMU with 47.4 rush attempts for 259.4 yards.

The Snoozle model forecast SMU to score 19.0 points on the road. SMU is predicted from the model to throw for 252.0 yards on 40.1 attempts for 22.3 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.3 touchdowns and 1.2 interceptions. SMU is predicted to run for 128.2 yards on 28.5 attempts with an estimated 0.6 touchdowns.

With an estimated 73.6% likelihood to pass a +3.0 spread, the best value is on FAU over SMU against the spread. The over/under line of 72.0 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 87.4% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Mon, December 16, 2019 13:01:27 UTC