Underdog Dodgers's Starting Pitcher Hyun-Jin Ryu with a Predicted Win Over the Mets

Sat, Sep 14, 2019 | Emma Botos


Jacob deGrom of the New York Mets, July 31, 2016.
D. Benjamin Miller License

September 14, 2019 -- According to our model, the Dodgers predicted to over perform on the road against the Mets with a 56.46% chance to win.

The Dodgers have Hyun-Jin Ryu as the probable starting pitcher against Jacob deGrom. The Dodgers's Hyun-Jin Ryu is predicted to throw for 7.028 innings, allowing 1.865 earned runs, with 5.956 Ks. Jacob deGrom is estimated from the model to throw for 6.982 innings, allowing 1.841 earned runs, with 6.455 Ks.

The Dodgers's Will Smith and the Mets's Jeff McNeil will slug it out from the plate. Will Smith is forecast to bring in 0.582 RBIs and 0.457 runs scored, with an 0.282 OBP and 1.174 Ks. The Mets's Jeff McNeil is estimated to score 0.448 runs, 0.459 RBIs and have a 0.340 OBP.

With +123 money line odds and a estimated 56.46% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Dodgers over the Mets. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 55.59% over estimate and -106 line odds for 7.5 runs.

Posted at Sat, September 14, 2019 13:05:16 UTC