Underdog Chattanooga with a Predicted Win Over Tennessee

Sat, Sep 14, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-09-14 -- According to our model, Chattanooga predicted to over perform on the road against Tennessee with a 80.6% chance to win.

The Snoozle model forecast Chattanooga to score 28.4 points on the road. Chattanooga is forecast to pass for 2.2 touchdowns on 42.8 pass attempts with 30.3 competitions for 378.1 yards, and a predicted 1.3 interceptions. Chattanooga is predicted to run for 197.4 yards on 42.3 attempts with an estimated 1.2 touchdowns.

Tennessee has an average of 16.0 points in our model for the game. Our model forecasts Tennessee will pass for 0.8 touchdowns and 3.2 interceptions against the Chattanooga defense on a projected 14.9 competitions with 31.9 attempts for 172.4 passing yards. The model estimates Tennessee will run on 33.7 attempts against Chattanooga with an estimated total of 162.5 yards and 0.7 rushing touchdowns.

For this game, Chattanooga is the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 80.6% probability to beat the +27.5 point spread. Based on the prediction model's over 55.4% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 51.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Sat, September 14, 2019 14:50:12 MST