Underdog BYU on the Road Forecasted to Beat Utah State

Tue, Oct 29, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-02 -- BYU with a 61.8% forecasted chance to beat Utah State on the road based on the Snoozle football model.

The Snoozle model forecast BYU to score 25.8 points on the road. The Snoozle football model predicts BYU will throw 25.7 competitions on 42.9 attempts against Utah State with a forecasted 2.1 interception for a total of 290.7 yards and 1.6 touchdowns. Our model forecasts BYU will rush for 1.0 touchdowns against the Utah State defense on 37.2 attempts for a projected 137.1 yards.

Utah State is estimated to score 19.7 points at home. Our model forecasts Utah State will pass for 1.3 touchdowns and 0.0 interceptions against the BYU defense on a projected 26.3 competitions with 39.5 attempts for 267.0 passing yards. Our model forecasts Utah State will rush for 0.9 touchdowns against the BYU defense on 31.2 attempts for a projected 169.4 yards.

Based on a predicted 67.7% probability to cover a +3.5 spread, BYU is the best value for the ATS bets. With an over/under of 49.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 67.6% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Tue, October 29, 2019 13:00:42 UTC