Underdog Broncos on the Road Forecasted to Beat the Texans

Thu, Dec 5, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-12-08 -- The visiting Broncos has an estimated 68.0% chance to overcome the Texans based on our football model.

On the road, the Broncos are forecast to score 20.9 points against Texans. The Snoozle football model predicts Broncos will throw 24.5 competitions on 41.3 attempts against the Texans with a forecasted 1.8 interceptions for a total of 245.0 yards and 1.3 touchdowns. The Broncos are estimated from the model to rush for 1.0 touchdowns against Texans with 29.3 rush attempts for 166.8 yards.

The Texans have an average of 13.3 points in our model for the game. The Texans are expected to throw for 0.8 touchdowns with 35.6 pass attempts with 20.3 competitions for 199.4 yards, and an estimated 1.8 interceptions. The model estimates the Texans will run on 26.2 attempts against the Broncos with an estimated total of 119.2 yards and 0.5 rushing touchdowns.

Based on a predicted 86.0% probability to cover a +9.0 spread, the Broncos are the best value for the ATS bets. According to prediction model the 56.0% over estimate and -110 line odds for 41.5 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Thu, December 5, 2019 13:02:15 UTC