Underdog Bills on the Road Forecasted to Beat the Patriots

Thu, Dec 19, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-12-21 -- On the road, the Bills take the Patriots for a 68.2% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle football model.

The Snoozle model forecast the Bills to score 20.3 points on the road. The Bills are forecast to pass for 1.0 touchdowns on 37.8 pass attempts with 19.8 competitions for 183.5 yards, and a predicted 2.0 interceptions. The Bills are estimated from the model to rush for 1.0 touchdowns against Patriots with 34.4 rush attempts for 189.7 yards.

At home, the Patriots are forecast to score 12.0 points. The Patriots are expected to throw for 0.8 touchdowns with 40.2 pass attempts with 21.5 competitions for 209.1 yards, and an estimated 0.3 interceptions. The model estimates the Patriots will run on 20.6 attempts against the Bills with an estimated total of 83.6 yards and 0.3 rushing touchdowns.

The Bills are the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 82.8% likelihood estimate to cover a +6.0 point spread. According to prediction model the 62.7% over estimate and -110 line odds for 38.5 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Thu, December 19, 2019 13:03:38 UTC