Underdog Bears on the Road Forecasted to Beat the Packers

Sat, Nov 28, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-11-30 -- On the road, the Bears take the Packers for a 60.6% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle football model.

The Bears are estimated to score 19.4 points on the road. Our model forecasts Bears will pass for 1.3 touchdowns and 1.7 interceptions against the Packers defense on a forecasted 27.8 competitions with 43.2 attempts for 255.7 yards. The Bears are predicted to run for 126.4 yards on 25.1 attempts with an estimated 0.8 touchdowns.

The Packers have an average of 14.1 points in our model for the game. The Packers are expected to throw for 0.9 touchdowns with 36.6 pass attempts with 18.8 competitions for 200.5 yards, and an estimated 2.0 interceptions. Our model forecasts the Packers will rush for 0.5 touchdowns against the Bears defense on 27.3 attempts for a projected 121.9 yards.

An estimated 81.6% likelihood to beat a +8.5 point spread, the best value is on the Bears in their matchup against the Packers. The over/under line of 44.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 56.0% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Sat, November 28, 2020 13:03:48 UTC