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UL Monroe Led by Their Offense at Home Expected to Beat South Alabama

Thu, Sep 26, 2019 | Consuelo Machina

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2019-09-28 -- The Snoozle model estimates UL Monroe has an estimated 66.3% likelihood of defeating South Alabama.

At home, UL Monroe is forecast to score 27.0 points. UL Monroe is expected to throw for 1.3 touchdowns with 37.3 pass attempts with 22.0 competitions for 226.8 yards, and an estimated 2.0 interceptions. The model estimates UL Monroe will run on 41.5 attempts against South Alabama with an estimated total of 277.5 yards and 1.8 rushing touchdowns.

South Alabama is estimated to score 19.9 points on the road. South Alabama is predicted from the model to throw for 173.0 yards on 27.6 attempts for 14.9 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 0.9 touchdowns and 1.7 interceptions. Our model forecasts South Alabama will rush for 1.3 touchdowns against the UL Monroe defense on 44.5 attempts for a projected 253.1 yards.

Based on a predicted 69.9% probability to cover a +16.0 spread, South Alabama is the best value for the ATS bets. With a predicted 54.8% likelihood and -110 odds at 58.0 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Thu, September 26, 2019 03:47:51 UTC