UCF Forecasted to Lose at Home to Odds Underdog Houston

Sat, Oct 31, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-10-31 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo football model, UCF is likely to fail on the road with a 53.9% chance of being correct against Houston.

Based on the montecarlo model, UCF has an average of 22.1 points for the game. UCF is forecast to pass for 1.5 touchdowns on 38.0 pass attempts with 21.4 competitions for 282.4 yards, and a predicted 1.4 interceptions. Our model forecasts UCF will rush for 0.7 touchdowns against the Houston defense on 37.4 attempts for a projected 109.1 yards.

Houston has an average of 23.4 points in our model for the game. Our model forecasts Houston will pass for 1.5 touchdowns and 2.4 interceptions against the UCF defense on a projected 22.6 competitions with 40.3 attempts for 288.8 passing yards. Our model forecasts Houston will rush for 0.8 touchdowns against the UCF defense on 50.7 attempts for a projected 166.5 yards.

With an estimated 57.5% likelihood to pass a +3.0 spread, the best value is on Houston over UCF against the spread. With a predicted 97.3% likelihood and -110 odds at 82.0 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Sat, October 31, 2020 13:00:25 UTC