UAB Led by Their Offense at Home Expected to Beat UTEP

Tue, Nov 12, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-16 -- The Snoozle model estimates UAB has an estimated 84.2% likelihood of defeating UTEP.

UAB is estimated to score 28.5 points at home. The Snoozle football model estimates UAB will throw 19.8 competitions on 35.5 attempts against UTEP with an estimated 0.2 interceptions for a total of 298.6 yards and 1.9 passing touchdowns. UAB is forecast to rush for 195.7 yards on 50.4 attempts with an estimated 1.1 rushing touchdown.

Based on the montecarlo model, UTEP has an average of 11.8 points for the game. UTEP is predicted from the model to throw for 165.8 yards on 30.0 attempts for 14.2 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 0.6 touchdowns and 1.5 interceptions. The model predicts UTEP will rush on 34.8 attempts against UAB with an estimated total of 137.4 yards and 0.5 running touchdowns.

For this game, UTEP is the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 15.8% probability to beat the +18.0 point spread. According to prediction model the 63.6% over estimate and -110 line odds for 45.0 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Tue, November 12, 2019 13:00:40 UTC