Tue, Nov 5, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-11-09 -- According to our model, UAB predicted to over perform on the road against Southern Miss with a 69.7% chance to win.
The Snoozle model forecast UAB to score 27.1 points on the road. Our model forecasts UAB will pass for 2.0 touchdowns and 0.5 interceptions against the Southern Miss defense on a forecasted 17.2 competitions with 32.6 attempts for 301.7 yards. UAB is estimated from the model to rush for 0.9 touchdowns against Southern Miss with 47.9 rush attempts for 146.3 yards.
Southern Miss is predicted to score 17.8 points on the home turf against UAB. Southern Miss is expected to throw for 1.4 touchdowns with 36.9 pass attempts with 21.6 competitions for 284.3 yards, and an estimated 1.5 interceptions. Our model forecasts Southern Miss will rush for 0.5 touchdowns against the UAB defense on 33.5 attempts for a projected 103.4 yards.
Based on a predicted 80.6% probability to cover a +6.0 spread, UAB is the best value for the ATS bets. With an over/under of 50.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 60.6% over likelihood and -110 odds.
Posted at Tue, November 5, 2019 13:00:53 UTC