Twins Predicted to Fall at Home to Nationals Despite Nelson Cruz's Effort

Thu, Sep 12, 2019 | Emma Botos

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September 12, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, the Twins are predicted with a 65.09% to lose at home against the Nationals.

On the mound for the Twins will be Kyle Gibson paired against Patrick Corbin. Kyle Gibson is estimated from the model to throw for 6.300 innings, allowing 3.115 earned runs, with 5.973 Ks. Patrick Corbin is estimated to have 2.268 earned runs, 22.061 outs, and 5.476 strike outs.

Hitters Nelson Cruz from the Twins and Anthony Rendon from the Nationals will lead the offense for their teams. Nelson Cruz RF is forecast to bat for 0.261 with 0.762 RBIs and 0.603 runs scored. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Anthony Rendon is predicted to bat for 0.318 with 0.817 RBIs and 0.824 runs scored.

For this game the Nationals are the best value on the money line bets with on the -119 away odds and a predicted 65.09% likelihood to win. Based on the prediction model's over 51.94% likelihood and -102 odds, the over line with 9.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Thu, September 12, 2019 13:05:20 UTC