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Fri, Sep 6, 2019 | Emma Botos
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September 6, 2019 -- The Twins have a 59.29% chance of winning at home against the Indians according to the Snoozle Sports MLB model.
This game is setup to be a pitching duel between the Twins's Michael Pineda and the Indians's Adam Plutko. The Twins starting hurler is predicted to throw for 22.069 outs, allow 2.178 earned runs, and a 0.018 probability of a complete game. The Indians's Adam Plutko is predicted to throw for 6.725 innings, allowing 2.349 earned runs, with 7.163 Ks.
In a hitting matchup, Nelson Cruz of the Twins will see who has the better stick against the visiting slugger Carlos Santana. According to our game model, Nelson Cruz RF is estimated to bring in 0.765 RBIs and 0.670 runs scored, with an 0.351 OBP and 1.223 Ks. Carlos Santana 1B is forecast to bring in 0.580 RBIs and 0.595 runs scored, with an 0.379 OBP and 0.706 Ks.
With +153 money line odds and a estimated 40.71% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Indians over the Twins. The over/under line of 10.5 runs with -120 over odds and a predicted 63.42% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.
Posted at Fri, September 6, 2019 13:05:02 UTC