Twins Led By Pitcher Martin Perez on the Road Predicted to Beat the Tigers

Sat, Aug 31, 2019 | Emma Botos


Nelson Cruz
Keith Allison on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License

August 31, 2019 -- On the road, the Twins take the Tigers for a 59.79% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle MLB model.

The Twins have Martin Perez as the probable starting pitcher against Matt Boyd. The Twins's Martin Perez is predicted to throw for 6.883 innings, allowing 2.285 earned runs, with 8.512 Ks. Our model forecasts the Tigers pitcher will have an outing for 6.653 innings, allowing 2.484 earned runs, with a 2.395 walks.

The Twins's Nelson Cruz and the Tigers's Brandon Dixon will slug it out from the plate. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Nelson Cruz RF is predicted to bat for 0.265 with 0.823 RBIs and 0.682 runs scored. The Tigers's Brandon Dixon is estimated to score 0.464 runs, 0.482 RBIs and have a 0.295 OBP.

According to the -130 ML away odds and an predicted 59.79% chance to win, the Twins are the best value for the money line. The over/under line of 9.0 runs with +100 over odds and a predicted 59.80% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Sat, August 31, 2019 13:06:32 UTC