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Twins Led By Pitcher Jose Berrios at Home Expected to Beat the Braves
Tue, Aug 6, 2019 | Emma Botos
Mike Foltynewicz signs autographs at a Houston sports collectors show in January 2014.
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August 6, 2019 -- The Snoozle Sports MLB prediction model estimates the Twins to take the home win over the Braves with a 69.55% estimate of being correct.
This game is setup to be a pitching duel between the Twins's Jose Berrios and the Braves's Mike Foltynewicz. The Twins starting hurler is predicted to throw for 22.415 outs, allow 2.010 earned runs, and a 0.024 probability of a complete game. The Braves starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 20.640 outs, allow 2.969 earned runs, and a 0.004 probability of a complete game.
In a hitting matchup, Nelson Cruz of the Twins will see who has the better stick against the visiting slugger Josh Donaldson. Based on the Snoozle model, Nelson Cruz RF is predicted to have 0.997 RBIs and score 0.830 runs over an estimated 4.265 at-bats. According to our game model, Josh Donaldson is estimated to have 0.546 RBIs and score 0.549 runs over an estimated 3.919 at-bats.
For this matchup Twins are the best value on the money line bets with on the -150 home ML odds and a forecasted 69.55% chance to win. The over/under line of 10.5 runs with -115 over odds and a predicted 56.26% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.
Posted at Tue, August 6, 2019 13:04:06 UTC