Twins's Starting Pitcher Jose Berrios with a Predicted Win Over the Odds Favorite Red Sox

Wed, Sep 4, 2019 | Emma Botos


Nelson Cruz
Keith Allison on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License

September 4, 2019 -- According to our model, the Twins predicted to over perform on the road against the Red Sox with a 59.69% chance to win.

Likely visiting starter Jose Berrios will will duel it out with the Red Sox probable starter Eduardo Rodriguez. The Twins's Jose Berrios is predicted to throw for 6.480 innings, allowing 2.843 earned runs, with 5.423 Ks. The Red Sox starting hurler is predicted to throw for 20.527 outs, allow 3.122 earned runs, and a 0.004 probability of a complete game.

In a hitting matchup, Nelson Cruz of the Twins will see who can bring in more runs against the at home hitter J.D. Martinez. Nelson Cruz RF is forecast to bring in 0.984 RBIs and 0.870 runs scored, with an 0.385 OBP and 1.318 Ks. According to our game model, J.D. Martinez is estimated to bring in 0.813 RBIs and 0.639 runs scored, with an 0.365 OBP and 0.920 Ks.

For this game the Twins are the best value on the money line bets with on the +120 away odds and a predicted 59.69% likelihood to win. Based on the over(-115)/under(-105) odds, the 11.0 runs for this line, and our model's predicted combined score estimate, there is no good over/under value.

Posted at Wed, September 4, 2019 13:03:54 UTC