Twins's Starting Hurler Jose Berrios with a Predicted Home Win Over the Royals

Sat, Sep 21, 2019 | Emma Botos


Glenn Sparkman of the Omaha Storm Chasers delivers a pitch at Werner Park in Omaha in 2018.
Minda Haas Kuhlmann: flickr, personal website, twitter, instagram License

September 21, 2019 -- The Snoozle Sports MLB prediction model estimates the Twins to take the home win over the Royals with a 73.06% estimate of being correct.

This game is setup to be a pitching duel between the Twins's Jose Berrios and the Royals's Glenn Sparkman. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Jose Berrios will have 2.205 earned runs, a predicted 22.136 outs, and 7.525 strike outs. Glenn Sparkman is estimated to have 3.499 earned runs, 19.965 outs, and 7.073 strike outs.

The Twins's Nelson Cruz and the Royals's Jorge Soler will duel it out from the batter's box. According to our game model, Nelson Cruz RF is estimated to bring in 1.167 RBIs and 0.923 runs scored, with an 0.400 OBP and 1.304 Ks. Jorge Soler RF is forecast to bring in 0.644 RBIs and 0.618 runs scored, with an 0.327 OBP and 1.212 Ks.

For this game the Royals are the best value on the money line bets with on the +283 away odds and a predicted 26.94% likelihood to win. Based on the over(-105)/under(-115) odds, the 10.5 runs for this line, and our model's predicted combined score estimate, there is no good over/under value.

Posted at Sat, September 21, 2019 14:10:28 MST