Troy has a Predicted Win Over the Odds Favorite Arkansas State

Sat, Oct 31, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-10-31 -- Troy with a 92.7% forecasted chance to beat Arkansas State on the road based on the Snoozle football model.

The Snoozle model forecast Troy to score 55.5 points on the road. Troy is forecast to pass for 5.1 touchdown on 50.7 pass attempts with 44.3 competitions for 602.7 yards, and a predicted 0.8 interceptions. The model predicts Troy will rush on 50.1 attempts against Arkansas State with an estimated total of 264.8 yards and 2.2 running touchdowns.

Arkansas State is estimated to score 19.8 points at home. Arkansas State is expected to throw for 1.7 touchdowns with 38.1 pass attempts with 25.5 competitions for 310.0 yards, and an estimated 1.9 interceptions. Our model forecasts Arkansas State will rush for 0.6 touchdowns against the Troy defense on 24.4 attempts for a projected 93.8 yards.

For this game, Troy is the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 92.7% probability to beat the +3.0 point spread. Based on the prediction model's over 84.0% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 69.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Sat, October 31, 2020 13:00:25 UTC