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Travis Demeritte's Hitting is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull the Visiting Tigers Over the Astros
Thu, Aug 22, 2019 | Emma Botos
Matt Boyd, Jordan Zimmermann and Shane Greene of the Detroit Tigers at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia in April 2019.
Ian D'Andrea on Flickr License
August 22, 2019 -- On the road, the Tigers has a 93.50% chance to lose to the Astros from our Snoozle montecarlo model.
On the mound for the Tigers will be Jordan Zimmermann matched up against Gerrit Cole. Jordan Zimmermann is estimated to have 4.415 earned runs, 18.626 outs, and 6.445 strike outs. Gerrit Cole is estimated from the model to throw for 7.543 innings, allowing 1.302 earned runs, with 8.006 Ks.
Expected in today's lineup will be top hitters Travis Demeritte and Yordan Alvarez from Tigers and Astros, respectively. Travis Demeritte is forecast to bring in 0.291 RBIs and 0.317 runs scored, with an 0.279 OBP and 1.349 Ks. Yordan Alvarez is forecast to bat for 0.382 with 1.440 RBIs and 1.158 runs scored.
Based on the -550 odds and an estimated 93.50% chance to win, the Astros are the best value for the money line. According to prediction model the 68.46% over estimate and -115 line odds for 8.5 runs, the over line is the best value.
Posted at Thu, August 22, 2019 13:03:17 UTC