Toledo with a Predicted Home Win Over Murray State

Sat, Sep 14, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-09-14 -- Toledo is predicted to win over the visiting Murray State based a 99.8% win prediction from the football model.

Toledo is predicted to score 63.8 points on the home turf against Murray State. Our model forecasts Toledo will pass for 4.6 touchdowns and 0.9 interceptions against the Murray State defense on a projected 27.5 competitions with 50.2 attempts for 519.4 passing yards. Our model forecasts Toledo will rush for 3.9 touchdowns against the Murray State defense on 59.6 attempts for a projected 489.8 yards.

On the road, Murray State is forecast to score 6.8 points against Toledo. Murray State is predicted from the model to throw for 163.9 yards on 27.4 attempts for 11.9 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 0.5 touchdowns and 2.2 interceptions. Our model forecasts Murray State will rush for 0.2 touchdowns against the Toledo defense on 14.2 attempts for a projected 59.7 yards.

According to the odds and a forecasted 86.2% chance to beat the -36.5 point spread, Toledo is the best value. With an over/under of 69.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 75.0% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Sat, September 14, 2019 14:50:12 MST