Toledo Led by Their Offense at Home Expected to Beat N Illinois

Tue, Nov 12, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-13 -- Toledo has a 59.3% chance of winning at home against N Illinois according to the Snoozle Sports football montecarlo model.

At home, Toledo is forecast to score 25.6 points. Toledo is expected to throw for 1.4 touchdowns with 31.3 pass attempts with 16.4 competitions for 235.9 yards, and an estimated 0.6 interceptions. Our model forecasts Toledo will rush for 1.4 touchdowns against the N Illinois defense on 47.5 attempts for a projected 256.4 yards.

On the road, N Illinois is forecast to score 21.5 points against Toledo. N Illinois is predicted from the model to throw for 262.7 yards on 38.9 attempts for 22.1 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.4 touchdowns and 0.3 interceptions. The model predicts N Illinois will rush on 33.5 attempts against Toledo with an estimated total of 176.7 yards and 1.0 running touchdowns.

With an estimated 55.9% likelihood to pass a -2.5 spread, the best value is on Toledo over N Illinois against the spread. Based on the prediction model's over 59.8% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 53.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Tue, November 12, 2019 13:00:40 UTC