Toledo's Defense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Home Underdog E Michigan

Wed, Nov 18, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-11-18 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo football model, Toledo is likely to fail on the road with a 98.1% chance of being correct against E Michigan.

The Snoozle model forecast Toledo to score 8.7 points on the road. The Snoozle football model predicts Toledo will throw 13.8 competitions on 26.4 attempts against E Michigan with a forecasted 1.2 interceptions for a total of 114.9 yards and 0.4 touchdowns. Toledo is estimated from the model to rush for 0.3 touchdowns against E Michigan with 29.2 rush attempts for 111.9 yards.

E Michigan has an average of 46.2 points in our model for the game. E Michigan is expected to throw for 3.3 touchdowns with 54.8 pass attempts with 32.3 competitions for 435.5 yards, and an estimated 0.6 interceptions. E Michigan is forecast to rush for 304.8 yards on 52.2 attempts with an estimated 2.2 rushing touchdowns.

With an estimated 99.0% likelihood to pass a +6.5 spread, the best value is on E Michigan over Toledo against the spread. Based on the prediction model's over 58.3% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 61.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Wed, November 18, 2020 13:00:53 UTC