Tigers Predicted to Fall at Home to Orioles Despite Victor Reyes's Effort

Sun, Sep 15, 2019 | Emma Botos


Edwin Jackson
Keith Allison on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License

September 15, 2019 -- The Tigers change of losing to the Orioles is 76.85% based on our model.

Likely starting pitcher Edwin Jackson for the Tigers will be matched up with the Orioles probable starter Asher Wojciechowski. Edwin Jackson is estimated from the model to throw for 6.178 innings, allowing 3.430 earned runs, with 5.660 Ks. The Orioles starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 22.825 outs, allow 1.931 earned runs, and a 0.035 probability of a complete game.

Expected in today's lineup will be top sluggers Victor Reyes and Trey Mancini from Tigers and Orioles, respectively. Based on the Snoozle model, Victor Reyes is predicted to have 0.243 RBIs and score 0.438 runs over an estimated 4.440 at-bats. Trey Mancini is forecast to bring in 0.919 RBIs and 0.865 runs scored, with an 0.396 OBP and 1.060 Ks.

With -137 money line odds and a estimated 76.85% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Orioles over the Tigers. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 61.08% over estimate and -105 line odds for 10.5 runs.

Posted at Sun, September 15, 2019 13:04:38 UTC