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Tigers's Starting Hurler for Underdog Tyler Alexander with a Predicted Home Win Over the White Sox
Sat, Sep 21, 2019 | Emma Botos
Tim Anderson
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License
September 21, 2019 -- In a matchup between hitters Brandon Dixon and Yoan Moncada, our model estimates the Tigers have an estimated 50.23% likelihood of defeating the White Sox.
Likely starting pitcher Tyler Alexander for the Tigers will be matched up with the White Sox probable starter Ivan Nova. Tyler Alexander is estimated from the model to throw for 6.873 innings, allowing 2.222 earned runs, with 8.137 Ks. The Snoozle model estimates the White Sox pitcher will have an outing for 6.662 innings, allowing 2.569 earned runs, with 2.329 walks.
Victor Reyes, Tigers's top hitter, will slug it out against Tim Anderson in today's game. Based on the Snoozle model, Victor Reyes CF is predicted to have 0.416 RBIs and score 0.606 runs over an estimated 4.700 at-bats. The White Sox's Tim Anderson SS from the plate is forecast to score 0.578 runs, 0.509 RBIs and have a 0.331 OBP.
For this matchup Tigers are the best value on the money line bets with on the +112 home ML odds and a forecasted 50.23% chance to win. With a predicted 63.59% likelihood and -115 odds at 9.5 runs, the under line is the best value.
Posted at Sat, September 21, 2019 14:10:28 MST