The Visiting Underdog Raiders Likely Winner Over the Texans

Thu, Oct 24, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-10-27 -- The Raiders with a 69.1% forecasted chance to beat the Texans on the road based on the Snoozle football model.

Based on the montecarlo model, the Raiders have an average of 30.5 points for the game. The Raiders are forecast to pass for 2.4 touchdowns on 43.3 pass attempts with 30.0 competitions for 344.0 yards, and a predicted 1.9 interceptions. The Raiders are predicted to run for 146.2 yards on 29.4 attempts with an estimated 1.1 touchdown.

The Texans are estimated to score 19.8 points at home. The Texans are estimated from the model to throw for 299.8 yards on 38.8 attempts for 27.6 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.7 touchdowns and 2.2 interceptions. The Texans are forecast to rush for 105.8 yards on 25.7 attempts with an estimated 0.6 rushing touchdowns.

The Raiders are the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 80.0% likelihood estimate to cover a +6.5 point spread. Based on the prediction model's over 69.4% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 51.0 runs is the best value.

Posted at Thu, October 24, 2019 13:05:19 UTC