The Visiting Underdog Raiders Likely Winner Over the Browns

Sat, Oct 31, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-11-01 -- The Raiders with a 53.6% forecasted chance to beat the Browns on the road based on the Snoozle football model.

The Snoozle model forecast the Raiders to score 21.1 points on the road. Our model forecasts Raiders will pass for 1.8 touchdowns and 2.0 interceptions against the Browns defense on a forecasted 28.9 competitions with 43.4 attempts for 314.2 yards. Our model forecasts the Raiders will rush for 0.5 touchdowns against the Browns defense on 24.3 attempts for a projected 89.3 yards.

The Browns have an average of 18.7 points in our model for the game. The Browns are expected to throw for 1.3 touchdowns with 38.1 pass attempts with 22.7 competitions for 243.1 yards, and an estimated 0.2 interceptions. The model estimates the Browns will run on 26.4 attempts against the Raiders with an estimated total of 137.9 yards and 0.8 rushing touchdowns.

Based on a predicted 60.3% probability to cover a +2.5 spread, the Raiders are the best value for the ATS bets. The over/under line of 50.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 52.9% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Sat, October 31, 2020 13:09:24 UTC