The Visiting Underdog Patriots Likely Winner Over the Rams

Wed, Dec 9, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-12-11 -- The Patriots has an predicted 48.9% chance for a road over the Rams.

The Snoozle model forecast the Patriots to score 19.3 points on the road. The Snoozle football model predicts Patriots will throw 21.4 competitions on 32.0 attempts against the Rams with a forecasted 0.1 interception for a total of 206.9 yards and 1.1 touchdown. The Patriots are predicted to run for 168.2 yards on 31.6 attempts with an estimated 1.0 touchdowns.

At home, the Rams are forecast to score 20.2 points. Our model forecasts the Rams will pass for 1.4 touchdowns and 0.2 interceptions against the Patriots defense on a projected 23.6 competitions with 36.2 attempts for 263.0 passing yards. The Rams are forecast to rush for 146.1 yards on 27.2 attempts with an estimated 0.9 rushing touchdowns.

For this game, the Patriots are the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 48.9% probability to beat the +5.0 point spread. With an over/under of 44.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 61.0% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Wed, December 9, 2020 13:04:34 UTC