The Visiting Underdog Lions Likely Winner Over the Broncos

Thu, Dec 19, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-12-22 -- On the road, the Lions take the Broncos for a 65.4% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle football model.

On the road, the Lions are forecast to score 19.1 points against Broncos. Our model forecasts Lions will pass for 1.5 touchdowns and 1.7 interceptions against the Broncos defense on a forecasted 25.2 competitions with 43.4 attempts for 279.4 yards. The model predicts the Lions will rush on 26.8 attempts against the Broncos with an estimated total of 115.2 yards and 0.6 running touchdowns.

At home, the Broncos are forecast to score 12.7 points. The Broncos are expected to throw for 0.7 touchdowns with 36.7 pass attempts with 20.1 competitions for 188.4 yards, and an estimated 2.1 interception. The Broncos are forecast to rush for 106.4 yards on 24.8 attempts with an estimated 0.5 rushing touchdowns.

For this game, the Lions are the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 65.4% probability to beat the +6.5 point spread. According to prediction model the 61.9% over estimate and -110 line odds for 37.5 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Thu, December 19, 2019 13:03:38 UTC