The Visiting Underdog Dolphins Likely Winner Over the Colts

Thu, Nov 7, 2019 | Rob Otto

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2019-11-10 -- According to our model, the Dolphins predicted to over perform on the road against the Colts with a 61.6% chance to win.

The Dolphins are estimated to score 19.0 points on the road. The Dolphins are forecast to pass for 1.3 touchdowns on 42.4 pass attempts with 28.0 competitions for 249.0 yards, and a predicted 1.7 interceptions. The Dolphins are predicted to run for 143.2 yards on 27.7 attempts with an estimated 0.7 touchdowns.

In their hometown, the Colts are forecast to score 13.8 points. The Colts are expected to throw for 0.9 touchdowns with 33.7 pass attempts with 18.0 competitions for 195.9 yards, and an estimated 0.4 interceptions. The model estimates the Colts will run on 26.2 attempts against the Dolphins with an estimated total of 111.6 yards and 0.4 rushing touchdowns.

An estimated 83.9% likelihood to beat a +10.5 point spread, the best value is on the Dolphins in their matchup against the Colts. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 58.3% over estimate and -110 line odds for 44.5 runs.

Posted at Thu, November 7, 2019 13:05:09 UTC