The Visiting Underdog Chargers Likely Winner Over the Bears

Thu, Oct 24, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-10-27 -- The Chargers has an predicted 78.5% chance for a road over the Bears.

The Snoozle model forecast the Chargers to score 24.1 points on the road. Our model forecasts Chargers will pass for 1.8 touchdowns and 1.8 interceptions against the Bears defense on a forecasted 32.2 competitions with 46.8 attempts for 291.5 yards. The Chargers are predicted to run for 152.6 yards on 28.7 attempts with an estimated 0.9 touchdowns.

The Bears are estimated to score 10.9 points at home. The Snoozle football model estimates the Bears will throw 21.2 competitions on 38.9 attempts against the Chargers with an estimated 2.2 interceptions for a total of 194.0 yards and 0.8 passing touchdowns. The model estimates the Bears will run on 15.8 attempts against the Chargers with an estimated total of 31.8 yards and 0.1 rushing touchdown.

The Chargers are the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 87.3% likelihood estimate to cover a +4.0 point spread. With an over/under of 40.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 61.2% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Thu, October 24, 2019 13:05:19 UTC