The Visiting Underdog Broncos Likely Winner Over the Falcons

Sat, Nov 7, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-11-08 -- The Broncos has an predicted 56.5% chance for a road over the Falcons.

The Snoozle model forecast the Broncos to score 23.2 points on the road. The Broncos are predicted from the model to throw for 288.6 yards on 40.7 attempts for 26.1 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.7 touchdowns and 1.9 interceptions. The model predicts the Broncos will rush on 26.5 attempts against the Falcons with an estimated total of 101.5 yards and 0.7 running touchdowns.

At home, the Falcons are forecast to score 19.6 points. The Snoozle football model estimates the Falcons will throw 23.2 competitions on 42.1 attempts against the Broncos with an estimated 2.0 interceptions for a total of 259.1 yards and 1.4 passing touchdowns. The Falcons are forecast to rush for 148.3 yards on 25.6 attempts with an estimated 0.8 rushing touchdowns.

Based on a predicted 67.6% probability to cover a +4.0 spread, the Broncos are the best value for the ATS bets. With an over/under of 50.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 55.6% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Sat, November 7, 2020 13:04:06 UTC