The Visiting Underdog Bears Likely Winner Over the Falcons

Sat, Sep 26, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-09-27 -- On the road, the Bears take the Falcons for a 90.2% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle football model.

On the road, the Bears are forecast to score 35.1 points against Falcons. The Bears are predicted from the model to throw for 372.2 yards on 48.8 attempts for 28.0 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 2.9 touchdowns and 2.0 interceptions. The model predicts the Bears will rush on 32.8 attempts against the Falcons with an estimated total of 147.9 yards and 1.1 running touchdown.

The Falcons are estimated to score 9.4 points at home. The Falcons are estimated from the model to throw for 202.2 yards on 39.1 attempts for 22.2 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 0.7 touchdowns and 2.3 interceptions. Our model forecasts the Falcons will rush for 0.2 touchdowns against the Bears defense on 18.3 attempts for a projected 63.8 yards.

Based on a predicted 94.1% probability to cover a +3.0 spread, the Bears are the best value for the ATS bets. According to prediction model the 65.2% over estimate and -110 line odds for 47.5 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Sat, September 26, 2020 13:03:58 UTC