The Visiting Underdog Astros with Top Predicted Hitter Yordan Alvarez Likely Winner Over the Yankees

Thu, Oct 17, 2019 | Emma Botos


Zack Greinke
jnashboulden on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License

October 17, 2019 -- In a probable pitching match up between Zack Greinke and Masahiro Tanaka, the Astros has an predicted 65.35% chance for a road over the Yankees.

Likely visiting starter Zack Greinke will will duel it out with the Yankees probable starter Masahiro Tanaka. Zack Greinke is estimated to have 2.032 earned runs, 22.422 outs, and 7.121 strike outs. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Masahiro Tanaka will have 2.922 earned runs, a predicted 20.750 outs, and 6.091 strike outs.

In a hitting matchup, Yordan Alvarez of the Astros will see who can bring in more runs against the at home hitter Giovanny Urshela. According to our game model, Yordan Alvarez is estimated to have 0.864 RBIs and score 0.740 runs over an estimated 4.033 at-bats. Giovanny Urshela is forecast to bat for 0.267 with 0.420 RBIs and 0.446 runs scored.

The Astros are the best value for the money line based on the +120 odds and a forecasted 65.35% win estimate. Based on the prediction model's over 64.68% likelihood and -105 odds, the over line with 8.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Thu, October 17, 2019 06:24:25 MST