The Visiting Underdog 49ers Likely Winner Over the Patriots

Sat, Oct 24, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-10-25 -- According to our model, the 49ers predicted to over perform on the road against the Patriots with a 63.9% chance to win.

On the road, the 49ers are forecast to score 22.2 points against Patriots. Our model forecasts 49ers will pass for 1.7 touchdowns and 1.4 interceptions against the Patriots defense on a forecasted 25.5 competitions with 42.6 attempts for 294.5 yards. The model predicts the 49ers will rush on 28.4 attempts against the Patriots with an estimated total of 144.7 yards and 0.8 running touchdowns.

The Patriots are estimated to score 15.2 points at home. The Patriots are estimated from the model to throw for 186.4 yards on 30.3 attempts for 18.2 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 0.9 touchdowns and 0.3 interceptions. The Patriots are predicted from the model to run for 0.7 touchdowns against 49ers with 30.7 rush attempts for 166.1 yards.

The 49ers are the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 69.5% likelihood estimate to cover a +2.0 point spread. Based on the prediction model's over 61.6% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 43.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Sat, October 24, 2020 13:11:43 UTC