The Visiting Tigers with Top Predicted Hitter Victor Reyes Expected Winner Over the Royals

Thu, Sep 5, 2019 | Emma Botos


Glenn Sparkman of the Omaha Storm Chasers delivers a pitch at Werner Park in Omaha in 2018.
Minda Haas Kuhlmann: flickr, personal website, twitter, instagram License

September 5, 2019 -- The visiting Tigers has an estimated 55.58% chance to overcome the Royals based on our model.

Likely visiting starter Matt Boyd will will duel it out with the Royals probable starter Glenn Sparkman. The Tigers starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 22.536 outs, allow 2.028 earned runs, and a 0.024 probability of a complete game. The Royals starting hurler is predicted to throw for 21.595 outs, allow 2.545 earned runs, and a 0.010 probability of a complete game.

Expected in today's lineup will be top hitters Victor Reyes and Jorge Soler from Tigers and Royals, respectively. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Victor Reyes is predicted to bat for 0.327 with 0.357 RBIs and 0.549 runs scored. The Royals's Jorge Soler RF is estimated to score 0.547 runs, 0.589 RBIs and have a 0.313 OBP.

According to the -115 ML away odds and an predicted 55.58% chance to win, the Tigers are the best value for the money line. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 68.38% over estimate and +100 line odds for 9.0 runs.

Posted at Thu, September 5, 2019 13:03:51 UTC