The Visiting Raiders's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Chiefs

Sun, Oct 11, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-10-11 -- According to the Snoozle model, the visiting Raiders have a 71.5% chance to lose to the home town Chiefs.

The Snoozle model forecast the Raiders to score 16.3 points on the road. Our model forecasts Raiders will pass for 1.3 touchdowns and 1.9 interceptions against the Chiefs defense on a forecasted 21.4 competitions with 38.3 attempts for 247.9 yards. The model predicts the Raiders will rush on 22.1 attempts against the Chiefs with an estimated total of 100.2 yards and 0.5 running touchdowns.

The Chiefs are predicted to score 28.0 points on the home turf against Raiders. The Chiefs are expected to throw for 1.9 touchdowns with 40.7 pass attempts with 25.6 competitions for 284.8 yards, and an estimated 1.9 interceptions. The model estimates the Chiefs will run on 30.7 attempts against the Raiders with an estimated total of 203.1 yards and 1.5 rushing touchdowns.

Based on a predicted 53.4% probability to cover a +12.0 spread, the Raiders are the best value for the ATS bets. The over/under line of 55.0 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 54.6% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Sun, October 11, 2020 13:01:17 UTC