The Visiting Patriots Expected Winner Over the Bengals

Thu, Dec 12, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-12-15 -- The visiting Patriots has an estimated 47.8% chance to overcome the Bengals based on our football model.

The Snoozle model forecast the Patriots to score 18.2 points on the road. The Snoozle football model predicts Patriots will throw 25.0 competitions on 44.9 attempts against the Bengals with a forecasted 0.3 interceptions for a total of 279.7 yards and 1.4 touchdowns. Our model forecasts the Patriots will rush for 0.5 touchdowns against the Bengals defense on 23.7 attempts for a projected 103.9 yards.

At home, the Bengals are forecast to score 18.4 points. The Bengals are expected to throw for 1.1 touchdown with 37.9 pass attempts with 20.4 competitions for 224.2 yards, and an estimated 0.1 interception. Our model forecasts the Bengals will rush for 0.7 touchdowns against the Patriots defense on 29.2 attempts for a projected 146.5 yards.

For this game Bengals are the best value on the against the spread bets with a forecasted 67.9% chance to beat a +8.5 spread. With an over/under of 40.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 65.8% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Thu, December 12, 2019 13:03:50 UTC