The Visiting Packers Expected Winner Over the Chiefs

Thu, Oct 24, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-10-28 -- On the road, the Packers take the Chiefs for a 61.4% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle football model.

Based on the montecarlo model, the Packers have an average of 22.2 points for the game. The Snoozle football model predicts Packers will throw 24.0 competitions on 39.4 attempts against the Chiefs with a forecasted 1.9 interceptions for a total of 263.0 yards and 1.6 touchdowns. The model predicts the Packers will rush on 27.6 attempts against the Chiefs with an estimated total of 110.4 yards and 0.7 running touchdowns.

The Chiefs are estimated to score 16.3 points at home. The Chiefs are estimated from the model to throw for 238.9 yards on 40.5 attempts for 20.5 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.1 touchdown and 1.9 interceptions. The Chiefs are forecast to rush for 136.6 yards on 24.9 attempts with an estimated 0.7 rushing touchdowns.

Based on the odds and probabilities to cover the spread, there is no good value on the ATS for the Packers (-4.5) at the Chiefs game. With a predicted 52.8% likelihood and -110 odds at 48.0 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Thu, October 24, 2019 13:05:19 UTC