The Visiting Favorite Patriots's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Them Over the Eagles

Thu, Nov 14, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-11-17 -- On the road, the Patriots has a 63.0% chance to lose to the Eagles from our Snoozle montecarlo model.

Based on the montecarlo model, the Patriots have an average of 13.0 points for the game. The Snoozle football model predicts Patriots will throw 22.8 competitions on 40.5 attempts against the Eagles with a forecasted 0.4 interceptions for a total of 233.0 yards and 1.0 touchdowns. Our model forecasts the Patriots will rush for 0.3 touchdowns against the Eagles defense on 20.7 attempts for a projected 88.2 yards.

The Eagles have an average of 17.9 points in our model for the game. The Eagles are estimated from the model to throw for 232.6 yards on 39.6 attempts for 23.0 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.1 touchdown and 1.8 interceptions. The model estimates the Eagles will run on 30.2 attempts against the Patriots with an estimated total of 139.1 yards and 0.7 rushing touchdowns.

The Eagles are the best value for the ATS based on a predicted 70.1% estimated to cover a +3.5 spread. With a predicted 64.5% likelihood and -110 odds at 44.0 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Thu, November 14, 2019 13:05:20 UTC