The Visiting Falcons Expected Winner Over the Chargers

Sat, Dec 12, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-12-13 -- On the road, the Falcons take the Chargers for a 61.9% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle football model.

The Snoozle model forecast the Falcons to score 25.6 points on the road. The Falcons are forecast to pass for 1.9 touchdowns on 50.1 pass attempts with 32.6 competitions for 324.7 yards, and a predicted 0.1 interception. The model predicts the Falcons will rush on 29.5 attempts against the Chargers with an estimated total of 179.2 yards and 1.0 running touchdowns.

The Chargers are predicted to score 19.2 points on the home turf against Falcons. The Chargers are estimated from the model to throw for 271.6 yards on 39.7 attempts for 24.4 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.5 touchdowns and 0.1 interception. The Chargers are predicted from the model to run for 0.6 touchdowns against Falcons with 26.8 rush attempts for 107.1 yards.

Based on a predicted 58.1% probability to cover a -2.5 spread, the Falcons are the best value for the ATS bets. With an over/under of 49.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 64.8% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Sat, December 12, 2020 13:12:17 UTC