The Visiting Dolphins's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Steelers

Thu, Oct 24, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-10-29 -- According to the Snoozle model, the visiting Dolphins have a 63.5% chance to lose to the home town Steelers.

Based on the montecarlo model, the Dolphins have an average of 12.3 points for the game. The Dolphins are predicted from the model to throw for 210.3 yards on 35.9 attempts for 19.1 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 0.8 touchdowns and 2.2 interceptions. The Dolphins are predicted to run for 109.6 yards on 25.1 attempts with an estimated 0.4 touchdowns.

The Steelers are predicted to score 17.8 points on the home turf against Dolphins. Our model forecasts the Steelers will pass for 1.2 touchdowns and 1.9 interceptions against the Dolphins defense on a projected 23.7 competitions with 42.7 attempts for 231.2 passing yards. The Steelers are predicted from the model to run for 0.6 touchdowns against Dolphins with 25.4 rush attempts for 124.9 yards.

Based on a predicted 76.0% probability to cover a +14.5 spread, the Dolphins are the best value for the ATS bets. The over/under line of 42.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 58.5% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Thu, October 24, 2019 13:05:19 UTC