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The Visiting Dodgers with Top Predicted Hitter Will Smith Expected Winner Over the Diamondbacks
Fri, Aug 30, 2019 | Emma Botos
Will Smith
Keith Allison on Flickr License
August 30, 2019 -- The visiting Dodgers has an estimated 68.96% chance to overcome the Diamondbacks based on our model.
Likely starting pitcher for the Dodgers, Tony Gonsolin, will be paired with the hosting Diamondbacks's pitcher Zac Gallen. The Dodgers starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 22.869 outs, allow 1.833 earned runs, and a 0.034 probability of a complete game. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Zac Gallen will have 2.517 earned runs, a predicted 21.482 outs, and 6.282 strike outs.
The Dodgers's Will Smith and the Diamondbacks's Ketel Marte will slug it out from the plate. Will Smith is forecast to bring in 0.910 RBIs and 0.697 runs scored, with an 0.348 OBP and 1.198 Ks. The Diamondbacks's Ketel Marte is estimated to score 0.534 runs, 0.447 RBIs and have a 0.319 OBP.
According to the -130 ML away odds and an predicted 68.96% chance to win, the Dodgers are the best value for the money line. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 60.79% over estimate and +100 line odds for 9.0 runs.
Posted at Fri, August 30, 2019 13:03:49 UTC