The Visiting Cubs with Top Predicted Hitter Kris Bryant Expected Winner Over the Phillies

Tue, Aug 13, 2019 | Emma Botos


Jason Vargas
Jeff Dunn on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License

August 13, 2019 -- On the road, the Cubs take the Phillies for a 54.92% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle MLB model.

Likely visiting starter Jose Quintana will will duel it out with the Phillies probable starter Jason Vargas. The Cubs's Jose Quintana is predicted to throw for 6.635 innings, allowing 2.386 earned runs, with 7.019 Ks. Jason Vargas is estimated from the model to throw for 6.617 innings, allowing 2.472 earned runs, with 6.553 Ks.

The Cubs's Kris Bryant and the Phillies's Scott Kingery will slug it out from the plate. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Kris Bryant is predicted to bat for 0.273 with 0.595 RBIs and 0.660 runs scored. Scott Kingery is forecast to bat for 0.266 with 0.663 RBIs and 0.498 runs scored.

Based on the odds and win probabilities, there is no good value on the money line for the Cubs -125 at Phillies +115 game. The over/under line of 10.0 runs with -105 over odds and a predicted 64.05% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Tue, August 13, 2019 13:06:08 UTC