The Visiting Chiefs Expected Winner Over the Bills

Mon, Oct 19, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-10-19 -- On the road, the Chiefs take the Bills for a 75.4% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle football model.

The Chiefs are estimated to score 29.0 points on the road. Our model forecasts Chiefs will pass for 2.2 touchdowns and 1.7 interceptions against the Bills defense on a forecasted 24.3 competitions with 40.5 attempts for 313.4 yards. The Chiefs are predicted to run for 180.5 yards on 29.4 attempts with an estimated 1.3 touchdowns.

At home, the Bills are forecast to score 15.1 points. The Bills are estimated from the model to throw for 222.8 yards on 36.0 attempts for 20.7 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.1 touchdown and 2.0 interceptions. The model estimates the Bills will run on 23.4 attempts against the Chiefs with an estimated total of 107.5 yards and 0.5 rushing touchdowns.

The Chiefs are the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 66.8% likelihood estimate to cover a -5.5 point spread. The over/under line of 56.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 57.5% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Mon, October 19, 2020 13:02:13 UTC