The Visiting Cardinals's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Rams

Thu, Dec 26, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-12-29 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo football model, the Cardinals are likely to fail on the road with a 54.1% chance of being correct against the Rams.

Based on the montecarlo model, the Cardinals have an average of 17.7 points for the game. The Cardinals are predicted from the model to throw for 228.2 yards on 39.3 attempts for 24.3 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.1 touchdown and 1.9 interceptions. The Cardinals are estimated from the model to rush for 0.8 touchdowns against Rams with 27.6 rush attempts for 137.2 yards.

The Rams are estimated to score 19.6 points at home. The Snoozle football model estimates the Rams will throw 22.1 competitions on 38.9 attempts against the Cardinals with an estimated 1.8 interceptions for a total of 244.4 yards and 1.3 passing touchdowns. The Rams are predicted from the model to run for 0.8 touchdowns against Cardinals with 29.2 rush attempts for 155.1 yards.

Based on a predicted 62.3% probability to cover a +7.5 spread, the Cardinals are the best value for the ATS bets. The over/under line of 49.0 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 57.8% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Thu, December 26, 2019 13:06:31 UTC