The Visiting Bengals's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Browns

Wed, Sep 16, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-09-17 -- According to the Snoozle model, the visiting Bengals have a 50.3% chance to lose to the home town Browns.

The Bengals are estimated to score 19.9 points on the road. The Bengals are forecast to pass for 1.0 touchdowns on 34.9 pass attempts with 18.4 competitions for 196.7 yards, and a predicted 1.8 interceptions. The model predicts the Bengals will rush on 28.0 attempts against the Browns with an estimated total of 210.1 yards and 1.3 running touchdowns.

In their hometown, the Browns are forecast to score 20.7 points. Our model forecasts the Browns will pass for 1.0 touchdowns and 1.6 interceptions against the Bengals defense on a projected 22.5 competitions with 39.0 attempts for 184.5 passing yards. Our model forecasts the Browns will rush for 1.2 touchdowns against the Bengals defense on 35.0 attempts for a projected 218.3 yards.

The Bengals are the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 61.0% likelihood estimate to cover a +6.0 point spread. Based on the prediction model's over 70.1% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 43.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Wed, September 16, 2020 22:26:43 MST